Trump losing his base is still no guarantee of a Democratic win: Analyst

Donald Trump can still win the 2020 US presidential election if the Democrats' nominee doesn't motivate the voters, according to Myles Hoenig, an American political analyst and activist.

Hoenig, a former Green Party candidate for Congress, made the remarks in an interview with Press TV on Saturday while commenting on Trump’s plunging approval rating.

Trump’s approval rating has dropped among Republican voters, according to a new poll.

The latest Hill-HarrisX poll released Friday found that 83 percent of GOP voters said they approve of Trump’s job performance, a 2-point drop from an identical poll conducted last month.

Meanwhile, a CNN poll released Tuesday found that 60 percent of US voters say Trump does not deserve to be reelected in next year’s election.

The CNN poll, which was conducted by SSRS, shows Trump’s approval rating at just 39 percent, with 55 percent disapproving.

His disapproval rating is the highest it's been since early February, with approval the lowest since January.

PressTV-Trump's approval drops among Republican voters: Poll

US President Donald Trump’s approval rating has dropped among Republican voters, according to a new poll.

“Except for perhaps Fox News and other right wing news outlets, the media in general in the US likes to highlight members of interests groups who are suffering from buyers’ remorse. Farmers, coal workers, other blue collar workers, etc., are saying that they might not have regretted necessarily voting for Trump at the time, but now they’re inclined not to support him because of the harm he’s done to their respective industries,” Hoenig said.

“Farmers are losing their yearly income due to trade war with China. Coal fields are not opening up as promised. Factory owners are not bringing their factories back to the US, and because of the trade war, are simply looking for cheaper destinations like Vietnam, Indonesia, India, and developing or lower income countries, rather than re-investing in America,” he stated.

“Trump still has a core base of support, but if he relied on just that, he would likely lose. His only advantage right now is the unknown in the Democratic Party primary season. Clearly if it’s Biden, there won’t be an enthusiastic outpouring of support except for those who vote blue no matter who. There are very few who actually energize the Democratic voters, especially the more progressives who, like their arch conservative counterparts in the Republican Party, vote in large numbers. The Democratic candidate always moves back to the right once the general election is underway. Hillary Clinton was a perfect example except that she was always to the right but pretended, for the primary, that she had progressive values,” he noted.

“There are a lot of ironies in this election, as in everyone. Trump has a lot of support from small businesses, yet he made part of his fortune cheating them by not paying them for work provided and forcing them to sue, which was often more expensive than what they expected to gain. Black Americans strongly support Biden yet he is clearly the closest thing to an out of the closet racist among the Democrats. Trump is eviscerating environmental policies like the Clean Water Act yet it was the Democrats who ignored the drinking water problems of Flint, Michigan and so many other poorer cities that aren’t getting the attention,” he said.

“We have seen that even losing a plurality does not guarantee a loss. Bill Clinton in 92, George W. Bush 2000 if you count the projected votes in Florida, Trump in 2016 have all shown that not having a majority of voters can still win the golden ring for the White House. What Trump needs to do is keep his base from slipping and do his usual excellent campaign against his Democratic rival, as the Democrats are likely to assist him in who they nominate,” he concluded.

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